Brewers 2016: Scooter Gennett

Adam McCalvy of MLB.com recently reported that Counsell confirmed that Aaron Hill is slated to be the starting third baseman for the Brewers, which will give Scooter Gennett plenty of playing time at second base.  Gennett managed to rebound last season after being sent down to Triple-A Colorado Springs. His 2015 season was one that started off promising before fizzling out part way through, but Gennett managed to rebound to finish the season off.

2015 Production 

In 2015, Scooter Gennett posted a slash line of .264/.294/.381/.675 along with 6 HRs, 99 Hits, 18 doubles, and 29 RBIs. 2015 was definitely a down year for Gennet who burst into 2013 and 2014 hitting .324 and .289 respectively.  There were skeptics and loyalists for Scooter Gennett, many saw him as being the saving grace for the Brewers while there were those who told us to be wary of him. In the end, the skeptics came out on top as Gennett was sent down to Triple-A. However, he managed to rebound and finished out 2015 in the majors showing some upward promise from his first half disappointment. With Aaron Hill going to 3B Gennett is being given the opportunity for redemption going into the 2016 season.

2016 Projection

FanGraphs Steamer projects Scooter Gennett to post a slash line of .274/.309/.397 with g HRs, 83 hits, 15 doubles, and 31 RBIs over 303 ABs in 76 games. They’re giving him the sort of numbers he posted last season (albeit in fewer at-bats and games). Now that we know that Hill is taking over at third base I’d expect the only thing to differ from these projections is the number of at-bats and games played. 

I’d be wary of Gennett at this point, 2013 was his best year and he’s been declining since, the projections from FanGraphs show him to play about the same as last season, which is still off to the fiery start he had in 2013. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Brewers were to ship away Gennet this season, it really comes down to how he performs and to me the numbers say it’s likely he’ll be shipped.

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