The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs are tied for the NL Central with one game left on the schedule. How did we get here, and what are the latest odds for the division title?
The Chicago Cubs fell 2-1 to the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday afternoon, and the Milwaukee Brewers beat the Detroit Tigers 6-5 in the evening. The Brewers and Cubs are tied for the division lead heading into game #162.
How did we get here?
The Chicago Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10, while the Milwaukee Brewers are 8-2 over the same stretch. The Brewers have racked up six straight wins, while the Cubs have struggled with the Cardinals and Pirates.
On Saturday, Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas did his best to keep the Redbirds in the Wild Card picture. Mikolas tossed eight innings of one-run baseball. He struck out six, gave up five hits, and didn’t walk anyone. The Cardinals offense picked up a couple runs, and were able to hold on for a win.
The Milwaukee Brewers played a seesaw game with the Detroit Tigers that saw Christian Yelich homer twice. In the end, the Brewers bullpen kept the Tigers off the scoreboard for the final three innings to earn win #94.
What are the current odds?
Both the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are assured of a playoff spot. However, one team will end up in the Wild Card game, while the other goes on to the Division Series. According to FanGraphs, the Brewers have a 50.1% chance to win the division.
What will happen on Sunday?
There are three possible scenarios that can occur on Sunday.
The first scenario is that Milwaukee Brewers earn their 95th win of the season, and the Chicago Cubs lose again. This option gives the Brewers the NL Central title.
If the Brewers lose, and Cubs win, Chicago goes to the NLDS. The Brewers would have to play in the wild card game.
If both teams win or both teams lose, the Brewers and Cubs will play game #163 in Chicago on Monday.
The Milwaukee Brewers and Detroit Tigers play at 2:10 PM CST on Sunday. Right-hander Spencer Turnbull takes the mound for the Tigers, while Gio Gonzalez gets the call for the Brewers. The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will start at 2:20 PM CST tomorrow. The Cardinals will send Jack Flaherty against Mike Montgomery of the Cubs. We should know exactly where the Wild Card game and the NL Central race stand before 6 PM….or Monday, depending on how Sunday turns out.