Milwaukee Brewers: Comprehensive 2018-19 Offseason Primer

Contract Options (4)

Joakim Soria (C), Mike Moustakas (M), Jeremy Jeffress (C), Jordan Lyles (C)

(C) – Club Option, (M) – Mutual Option

Joakim Soria added another experienced late inning arm to the back of the Milwaukee Brewers bullpen when he joined the club in July. He wasn’t spectacular, posting a 4.09 ERA in 26 appearances. With a club option for $10 million for next season, it’s an easy decline for GM David Stearns. Soria would be the third or fourth option to close games for Craig Counsell and there’s no reason to pay $10 million for a 7th inning setup man.

Mike Moustakas is the most difficult case of the four. He has a mutual option for $15 million for next season. If he opts out, the Brewers decision is moot, since both would have to opt in. Should he opt in, it will be an interesting decision for David Stearns. Moose was his most productive July pickup and he’s well-liked in Milwaukee. But $15 million is a lot to pay for a player when you already have someone who can play his position in Travis Shaw on the roster. Is Moose worth $15 million? That’s for Stearns to decide, but it’ll be a tough decision either way.

Jeremy Jeffress took over the closer’s role when Corey Knebel hit a major rough patch. He did a tremendous job, becoming an All Star this year, along with closing 15 games with a 1.29 ERA. Jeffress struggled in the postseason, but overall is a great reliever who excels in Milwaukee. His $3.175 million option for next season is an easy pick-up for the Brewers.

Jordan Lyles presents an interesting case for his option as well. It’s not as interesting as Moustakas’ case, but still. Lyles would be due $3.5 million should his contract be picked up. Lyles was an August waiver claim who pitched pretty well, finishing with a 3.31 ERA in 11 appearances. He’s a long relief option at best and there’s already a bunch of those currently on the roster. Unless other room is cleared, don’t be surprised to see the Brewers decline Lyles’ option. $3.5 million isn’t a ton of money, but someone else can fill his role for less money. And the Brewers need to save money wherever they can.

Arbitration-Eligible Players (12)

Stephen Vogt ($3.065MM), Jonathan Schoop ($10.1MM), Xavier Cedeno ($1.5MM), Jimmy Nelson ($3.7MM), Hernan Perez ($2.7MM), Travis Shaw ($5.1MM), Tyler Saladino ($1.0MM), Zach Davies ($2.4MM), Manny Pina ($1.8MM), Domingo Santana ($2.0MM), Corey Knebel ($4.9MM), Junior Guerra ($2.7MM)

Arbitration projection numbers courtesy of Roster Resource.

Stephen Vogt missed all of 2018 with a shoulder injury. There was the possibility he could’ve gotten non-tendered last winter, but he was brought back. His injury puts a dark cloud over his status for next season. If Stearns still likes what Vogt can do, they could tender him for his final year of arbitration.

Jonathan Schoop is the most interesting case of all the 12 players eligible. He’s due $10.1 million, which is far more than his production level in Milwaukee shows he’s worth. Tom Haudricourt of the Journal Sentinel said the Brewers are unlikely to non-tender Schoop. Robert Murray of The Athletic (subscription required) said the Brewers are likely to non-tender Schoop. So take anything about Schoop being tendered/non-tendered with a grain of salt. There’s still the possibility the Milwaukee Brewers trade Schoop to someone else this winter. That way they get something for him at least.

Xavier Cedeno was added in August and was decent, but nothing special. With Dan Jennings entering free agency, Cedeno could be brought back as the situational lefty out of the bullpen for next year.

Jimmy Nelson missed all of 2018 rehabbing from shoulder surgery, similar to Vogt. While Vogt’s status for 2019 is up in the air, Nelson is virtually guaranteed to be on the Brewers team next year. Nelson won’t get a raise from what he earned in 2018, and is projected to get the same salary next year as he did this year.

Hernan Perez is a pretty decent utility option off the bench for Craig Counsell. He brings solid defense to every position and swings a decent bat. For $2.7 million, Perez is a nice guy to have on the roster. He’s not going to be a stud starting infielder, but he can hit lefties pretty well and he won’t break the bank for the Crew.

Travis Shaw is projected to earn the second largest arbitration salary on the team behind only Schoop. This is Shaw’s first year entering arbitration and he’s making a big jump in salary with a projected earnings of $5.1 million. Arbitration pays players more for certain stats, especially home runs. With 63 regular season home runs in two years in Milwaukee, Shaw has earned his raise.

Tyler Saladino had a brief stint as the starting shortstop of the Milwaukee Brewers after a hot stretch at the plate. Then he got injured, cooled off at the plate, and was sent down to Triple-A. He came back up for September but didn’t play much and doesn’t look to figure into the Crew’s future plans. Don’t be surprised to see Saladino non-tendered and playing for someone else next season.

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This was not a good time for Zach Davies to miss most of the season with various injuries. He made only 13 starts and posted a 4.77 ERA in 2018. For both postseason rosters, Davies was left off, before being brought on to replace an injured Gio Gonzalez. Davies is still likely to be tendered a contract for somewhere around $2.4 million, but he’s fallen behind on the depth chart. Some of the young arms have jumped him and he could be a trade candidate.

Manny Pina split catching duties with Erik Kratz down the stretch despite having the superior offensive numbers. His numbers still were not outstanding and he finished with a .252/.307/.395 slash line. He went from a roughly league average hitter in 2017 to a below average hitter in 2018. Still, the major league catching depth for the Brewers is a bit thin and $1.8 million isn’t too bad for a strong defensive catcher.

Domingo Santana struggled mightily in 2018. The additions of Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain cut into Santana’s playing time and he was sent to Triple-A for most of the year. He came back in September and turned into a viable pinch hitting power option. His strikeout struggles are still real and $2.0 million for a reserve outfielder with power isn’t bad. Santana could also find himself on the trade block again this winter.

Corey Knebel missed most of April with a hamstring strain and struggled for a while afterwards. But after a demotion to Triple-A, Knebel was back to form. He stands to regain the full-time closer’s role next season. His projected $4.9 million contract will not be a hindrance to that.

Junior Guerra was Stearns’ first acquisition. He pitched well out of the bullpen late in the year after being removed from the rotation. It’s tough to see Guerra regaining a full time rotation spot barring a couple of injuries. Guerra’s not bad, but he could be on non-tender watch.

Rule 5 Eligible Prospects (4)

Jake Gatewood (10), Trey Supak (13), Troy Stokes, Jr. (15), Cody Ponce (17)

Numbers in list reflect MLB Pipeline team rankings.

Jake Gatewood missed the second half of the 2018 season with a torn ACL, but he was having a stellar year before that. The former first round pick could be the future at first base or third base for the Milwaukee Brewers. He’s got big power and he should be added to the 40 man roster.

Trey Supak was acquired along with Keon Broxton from Pittsburgh for Jason Rogers a few years ago. Now 22, Supak has developed into a solid pitching prospect. He posted a 2.48 ERA across High-A and Double-A in 2018. He has a chance to be a big league starter and make his debut next season.

Troy Stokes, Jr. is a strong, stocky outfielder with a lot of power and a lot of speed. There’s a lot of outfielders in this system and he’s found a way to separate himself and gain some exposure in the organization. Stokes should be protected this winter.

Cody Ponce is another big pitching prospect for the Milwaukee Brewers. The former second round pick has the potential to make it as a big league starter. He didn’t have the best year at Biloxi in 2018 but he has enough talent and he’s close enough to the big leagues that he needs to be protected from the Rule 5 Draft.

Other Eligible Players

Other players that aren’t on the Top 30 prospects list are Bubba Derby, Quintin Torres-Costa, Phil Bickford, and Nathan Kirby. Derby and Torres-Costa were at Triple-A this past year and could be strong candidates to be drafted if not protected. Bickford and Kirby are former top prospects who are down in High-A. Bickford had character issues to deal with and Kirby has been injured a lot. Neither stand much risk of being selected in the big league portion of the draft.

It’s going to be an interesting offseason for David Stearns and the Milwaukee Brewers. This is where Stearns does his best work and Brewers fans can’t wait to see what he has in store for this winter.