Lutz is currently rated as a top-three prospect in the Milwaukee Brewers system by just about every online scouting service. However, he needs to put together a true break out season to strap a rocket to his career.
Lutz spent all of 2018 in Low-A and posted a .245/.321/.421 slash line in 119 games. He blasted 13 homers, stole nine bases, and flashed plus tools in just about every facet of his game.
He’s rated with 70-grade raw power, but it needs to start showing up more often in games. He also needs to further develop his plate discipline. He did manage a 9.1% walk-rate in 2018, but it also came with a 27.6% strikeout rate. Lutz needs to see the walk rate stay up around nine-percent or higher, and start to cut down on the strikeouts.
Lutz will likely start the 2019 season in High-A with the Carolina Mudcats. He’ll probably stay there for the entire season even if he absolutely slays High-A pitching. Lutz won’t turn 21 years old until late August. He has plenty of time to develop, and the early returns are very positive for a guy who went from High School to professional baseball. However, a true break out in High-A would show that the work he’s put in to date is starting to pay off, and that he has a future in the Majors.
Players like Trent Grisham, Je’Von Ward, and Tyrone Taylor probably need a break out more than Lutz does, but Lutz is more likely to see a spike in production as he develops. A solid season in High-A would see Lutz start to creep into the top-100 lists, and the hype train would really start rolling.