Brewers: Are 2021 Outfield Stat Projections “Fair” or “Foul?”

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - MARCH 02: Christian Yelich #22 of the Milwaukee Brewers bats against the Oakland Athletics in the fourth inning during the MLB spring training game at American Family Fields of Phoenix on March 02, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - MARCH 02: Christian Yelich #22 of the Milwaukee Brewers bats against the Oakland Athletics in the fourth inning during the MLB spring training game at American Family Fields of Phoenix on March 02, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) /
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Sep 15, 2020; Miami, Florida, USA; Boston Red Sox center fielder Jackie Bradley Jr. (19) reacts after doubling in a run in the 6th inning against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports /

Jackie Bradley Jr.

Projection: .237/.324/.413 18 HR 61 RBI 73 R

Ruling: Foul

For those who were wondering, Jackie Bradley Jr. owns a career slash line of .239/.321/.412. So it seems this projection is merely based off of what he’s done in his career so far. But for the first time in eight years in the MLB, JBJ will not be playing in Boston. And while Boston isn’t a bad place to hit by any means, the confines of American Family Field may prove a bit more beneficial.

It’s become known around the league that the stadium in Milwaukee is one of the most friendly left-handed hitting venues throughout the sport. Between 2011-2015, the formerly-known Miller Park had the best home run factor for left-handed batters at 1.366 and the last few years they’ve hovered around the top 10 overall in home run factor.

There’s only a six-foot-high fence and the space between the right field line and center field isn’t all that lengthy. JBJ will almost certainly enjoy hitting in American Family Field, not to mention roaming his new field.

Coming off his most efficient year at the plate in some time, Baseball Reference expects him to drop about .040 points in batting average, OBP, and slugging, for whatever reason. Sure he doesn’t have the track record that many might want to see leading up to this, but this could be a case where a change of scenery brings back the JBJ of 2016 when he was an All-Star.

I don’t think this projection is way off, I just would like to see some higher numbers due to the fact that the Brewers will field a dangerous lineup day in and out and he will reap the benefits. I’ll say somewhere around the ballpark of .252/.365/.437 with 22 HR, 66 RBI, and 80 runs scored for the new arrival in Brew Town.

Next. Brewers 26-Man Opening Day Roster Prediction 2.0. dark

This Brewers outfield could be one of the best in all of baseball and one of the real keys to success for the team this coming season. Not only can all four excel at the plate, but they look to be one of the better defensive units with arm strength and speed to burn all around.

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