Brewers: Three Possible Breakout Candidates for the 2021 Season

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PHOENIX, ARIZONA – MARCH 21: Freddy Peralta #51 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches in the second inning against the Seattle Mariners during the MLB spring training game at American Family Fields of Phoenix on March 21, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images) /

Every year, MLB teams have that player who finally makes their first big breakthrough on the sport’s biggest stage. The Milwaukee Brewers have had no shortage of those types of players over the last few years.

Last season, Devin Williams and his “Airbender” burst on to the scene and took home both NL Rookie of the Year and Reliever of the year awards. In 2019, Keston Hiura made his mark in the bigs during his rookie year while Brandon Woodruff began to establish himself as the team’s future ace.

And in 2018, even though he was a five-year MLB veteran at that point and even already had a Gold Glove to his name, you had the official arrival of what would become the team’s perennial MVP candidate in Christian Yelich.

This season brings a new crop of Brewers looking to be more than just role players and establish themselves as big time major leaguers. So which guys have the best shot at making that dream a reality?

Here are three candidates who could have a breakout season for the Brewers in 2021.

1. RHP Freddy Peralta

It’s not exactly as though Freddy Peralta is new to the Brewers, having been pitching in the majors for them since the 2018 season. But would you really say that he has had an official breakout season for Milwaukee at this point?

“Fastball Freddy’s” Mother’s Day debut in 2018 made it seem like the breakout would happen immediately. That day, he went 5 2/3 scoreless innings, giving up a hit and two walks and striking out 13 of 21 batters in a game that ranks as one of the most memorable outings in recent team history.

Things leveled off after that and Peralta would finish the season with a 4.25 ERA, 1.136 WHIP, and 11.0 K/9 in 16 games (14 starts). It offered optimism for what the young gun could bring to the table the following season.

Unfortunately, his first crack at becoming a full-time starter didn’t go so well. An 8.31 ERA through five starts to begin the season saw Peralta get converted to a reliever for most of the remainder of 2019 and he would finish with a 4.26 ERA over 34 appearances, almost all out of the bullpen.

After one start to begin 2020 (3 IP, 3 H, 4 ER), it was back to the bullpen for Peralta where he looked even better than the previous year. He would finish with a 3.08 ERA, 1.101 WHIP, .198 batting average against, and a 15.0 K/9 as a reliever last year.

Peralta was signed to a five-year contract extension before the 2020 season and at the time, the team mentioned the long-term vision of utilizing him as a starter once again. Apparently 2021 could be where that vision is realized.

Recently, Peralta was officially named a member of the team’s starting rotation for 2021, a spot where he belongs after a big spring training performance. And with the further improved pitch mix he displayed this spring, there’s reason to believe he can unlock a new level of potential in the role, and we even think he can rise to the level of No. 3 starter this year as one of our bold predictions.

Prior to signing his extension, word on the street was that he was working on adding a slider to his repertoire. However, he only ended up using it 4.8% of the time in 2020. This spring, though, he has been using it much more often and making hitters look quite uncomfortable against it at that.

With, at minimum, three effective pitches at his disposal, it’s possible this version of Freddy Peralta could be an even more effective starter than the version we’ve seen in the past. If so, he could be due for a breakout in 2021.

PEORIA, ARIZONA – MARCH 03: Luis Urias #2 of the Milwaukee Brewers bats against the San Diego Padres during the MLB spring training game on March 03, 2021 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

2. SS Luis Urias

Still just 23 years old, shortstop Luis Urias already has 124 games over three seasons with the Brewers and San Diego Padres to his name with, so far, below average results. So is this the year where he finally takes that big step forward?

It certainly feels like he has the talent to do so. Urias, a former top prospect of the Padres, has mashed in his minor league career with a .308 average, .830 OPS, and 363 runs scored over 540 games played across all levels.

That hasn’t yet translated to success in the majors yet, though, as he owns a .226 average and .635 OPS for his career so far in The Show.

Last season was supposed to be Urias’ first chance at showing he belonged in the majors. But a hamate bone injury in spring training delayed his transition to the team and a positive Covid test going into Summer Camp postponed it even further.

Despite all that, Urias had a decent debut for the Brewers in 2020, hitting .286 with a .712 OPS through his first 25 games with the team. However, that was followed by a streak of games where he went 2 for his next 25 with 10 strikeouts to finish out the season.

Luis Urias needed to have a big spring for the Brewers to show he could still have a breakout year at shortstop, and that’s exactly what happened.

A hamstring issue this spring had fans briefly seeing deja vu, but Urias went on a tear upon his return, finishing Cactus League play with a .314 average and a .971 OPS with five doubles and a homer in 14 games.

Urias’ play has earned him the starting shortstop gig as the long-term Brewers fixture at the position, Orlando Arcia, has been splitting time between short and third and also hasn’t performed nearly as well this spring (.191 average, .517 OPS).

Having been Milwaukee’s main target in a trade that previous offseason which sent away outfielder Trent Grisham and pitcher Zach Davies, who both went on to have solid seasons with the Padres in 2020, and also brought back Eric Lauer, who did not, it had fans lamenting the early returns of the transaction.

But Urias has the skill to step up and be a big contributor for the Brewers, he just hasn’t put it all together quite yet. With increased playing time, 2021 could be the season where he officially breaks out and makes that trade look a lot better to the fans.

Mar 3, 2021; Peoria, Arizona, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Drew Rasmussen against the San Diego Padres during a Spring Training game at Peoria Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports /

3. RHP Drew Rasmussen

Lately it seems like every season features a reliever who breaks out for the Brewers. Even before Williams last year you had your Josh Haders, your Jeremy Jeffresses and your Corey Knebels. Had 2020 been a full season, Drew Rasmussen may have already been added to that list.

Rasmussen made his major league debut on August 19th last season, pitching in the seventh and eighth innings in a win over the Twins. The hard-throwing righty gave up two hits and struck out three of the eight batters he faced in his two innings of work.

His next outing wasn’t as smooth as he gave up two earned over an inning and a third on three hits and a walk. After that, though, Rasmussen went a stretch of eight games giving up just a run on six hits and six walks while striking out 13 over 10 1/3 innings pitched.

Rasmussen had a couple more rough appearances to finish the season, resulting in a less-than-attractive final ERA and WHIP of 5.87 and 1.696, respectively. But there were more than enough stretches of dominance along the way.

Even before he got to the big leagues, some Brewers fans felt Drew Rasmussen had breakout written all over him.

Brewers prospect watchers were already familiar with Rasmussen before all that. Drafted in the 6th round in 2018 by Milwaukee after undergoing two Tommy John surgeries in college, his 70-grade fastball ranked as the best in the system and had fans excited for his eventual debut.

Rasmussen flew up the ranks in his 2019 minor league debut. Once ready to pitch, he started off in Low-A Wisconsin and finished the season in Double-A Biloxi, combining for a 3.39 ERA, 1.184 WHIP, and a 11.6 K/9 across all levels.

With a chance to win an Opening Day roster spot, Rasmussen has looked solid this spring. In 10 innings of work, the righty has put together a 3.60 ERA with just a 1.000 WHIP with 13 strikeouts to just five walks.

Rasmussen has a chance to be more than just solid, though. That fastball can touch 100 when he really rears back and he primarily pairs it with a high 80s slider that also grades out above average.

Considering their stuff, there was a good chance that Rasmussen and fellow hard-throwing reliever Justin Topa were going to both be in the mix for high-leverage opportunities ahead of Williams and Hader. After the news of Topa’s unfortunate injury, Rasmussen could garner a majority of those chances and parlay it into a true breakout season.

Next. Fans Will Be Brewers' X-Factor in 2021. dark

One day remains before the Brewers begin their quest toward another postseason berth. It’s when these three, not to mention others, will begin their quest toward breakout seasons as well.

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