The MLB Draft is finally here! With the Brewers having the 15th pick in the draft, who they select is going to be very dependent on what happens in front of them.
The Brewers may have their dreams of players they want to select. Some of the top guys they know will not fall to them, such as Marcelo Mayer or Jack Leiter. Those guys fall more in the pipe dream scenario. This article will look at a more realistic dream scenario
Brewers Dream Round 1 Draft Scenario: High school bats go early, leaving large crop of college talent available at 15.
Since David Stearns has taken over the Brewers front office, even though he doesn’t run the draft, the Brewers have gone with a high school player in the first round just once, when they took Brice Turang 21st overall in 2018. Turang was more of an opportunity pick as they weren’t expecting Turang to be available there.
In 2016 and 2017, they took advanced college bats, in 2019 they took an advanced college arm, and then in 2020 they took an advanced college bat. So barring one of the top high school shortstops falling to 15, which is unlikely, the Brewers will probably end up with a college player.
Given the Brewers farm system is needing to supply the big league club with reinforcements ASAP, getting advanced college players that can move quickly through the system makes a lot of sense.
However, there’s only so many college players that make sense at that spot. The dream scenario for the Brewers would be to have as many of those players from the college ranks available to choose from as possible. That way, they will have the pick of the litter and simply choose the best player on their board.
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There’s a clear 2nd tier of college bats, which is shortstop Matt McLain and outfielders Colton Cowser and Sal Frelick. The 2nd tier of college arms includes lefty Jordan Wicks and righties Will Bednar, Ty Madden, Gunnar Hoglund, Sam Bachman, and Gavin Williams.
All of these guys won’t be available for Milwaukee, but having as many of them as possible to choose from would be perfect for the Brewers.
Having at least one or two of the college bats on the board with a couple of the pitchers would give scouting director Tod Johnson enough breathing room to be able to go with a college bat if he wants but can also get a top starting pitcher as well.
As the draft unfolds, just remember that the more high school players that get taken off the board before the Brewers, the more their best-case scenario comes to fruition.
For me, having Will Bednar, Jordan Wicks, Gunnar Hoglund, and Ty Madden all on the board would be perfect. They have a need for some right-handed pitching in the system, but grabbing the best lefty in the class and the best changeup in the class with Wicks also would be a sound strategy.
But with all of them on the board, they can simply take their pick of the litter and although time will tell who will end up being the best player in the big leagues, they can’t go wrong with any of them. The Brewers have a strong pitching development program and could perhaps turn whoever they draft into the best of this group.
However, if a college bat like Colton Cowser is there, don’t be surprised if they go that route instead.
High school players generally take too long to develop. The Brewers need help for their competitive window and a long-developing high school talent won’t help them out much.