Both the Atlanta Braves (88-73) and Milwaukee Brewers (95-67) have made the postseason in each of the past four years, but the 2021 NLDS is the first-ever postseason meeting between these two franchises.
This pairing of division champs poses the intimidating Braves lineup against a Brewers team who pitches with the best of them. In a short five-game series, the edge leans on the pitching staff. Especially when the Game 1 starter is in consideration for the National League Cy Young award.
That’s none other than Corbin Burnes (2.43 ERA). Burnes squares off against the veteran Charlie Morton (3.34 ERA) and this game should be a race to scoring three or four runs.
Brewers vs Braves Odds
The odds on WynnBET show the Brewers as overall favorites in this series by -150 odds. Milwaukee is also considered much more of a World Series threat, based on their fourth-best odds (+700) in the league. On the other hand, the Braves enter the postseason with +1500 odds to take home the title after a disappointing 88 wins in the bad NL East division.
Braves vs Brewers Prediction Game 1
It’s hard to not give the edge to Milwaukee to kick off this series. Not only are the Brewers sending out one of the best pitchers in the MLB to help quiet a Braves lineup, but they’re doing so at home.
Although this slugging Braves lineup scores the seventh-most runs in baseball (4.91 per game), they also strikeout out nearly nine (8.96) times per game. Enter Burnes, who leads all of baseball with 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
Game 1 will be decided with the performance of Burnes. If he’s up to his usual elite ways, then Milwaukee will have no issues getting out to a 1-0 series lead. Morton’s 3.34 ERA shows his ability to keep Atlanta in a close game, but with Brent Suter (3.07 ERA) and Josh Hader (1.23) waiting at the back end of the bullpen, that’s a formula for success.
Burnes will be in control in Game 1 and gets Milwaukee out to a 4-1 win. The game never feels as close as the box score shows.