How The Milwaukee Brewers Are Impacted By These 5 CBA Changes

New CBA Rule: Draft lottery

One of the more groundbreaking changes in this CBA is the implementation of a draft lottery.

The players were concerned with teams tanking for the lowest record and getting rewarded with high draft picks, so they pushed for a lottery, like what the NBA has. But it’s not a direct copy of the NBA’s lottery.

The first six picks in the MLB Draft going forward will be determined by the lottery. All non-playoff teams are eligible for the lottery. So let’s say the Brewers fall just short of the postseason, for whatever reason, this year. Instead of automatically getting a pick in the mid-to-late part of the first round, they could end up with a Top 6 overall selection, even potentially the number one overall pick.

For teams that don’t win lottery picks, the order will go as normal, in reverse order of standings with how the previous season ended. Teams in the postseason will still be in order of their regular season and not dependent on where they finish in the postseason like the NFL. Winning the World Series doesn’t mean a team will have the 30th pick in the draft.

The lottery odds will go in reverse order of standings, with the three worst clubs all having the highest chance to win at 16.5%. As a small market, revenue sharing club, the Brewers would be eligible to have back-to-back lottery selections, but not three in a row, should they have a downturn in their playoff fortunes.

But a lottery could help take some of the sting out of missing the playoffs.

New CBA Rule: The International Draft

First, let’s make an important distinction: This change isn’t official yet.

MLB pushed for the implementation of an International Draft as a way to clean up the heavy corruption and abuses that plague the current international free agent system. The players, while they want to clean up the major problems, did not want to rush into agreeing to an International Draft.

There’s a lot more that needs to be discussed and laid out and talked about regarding implementing this before they do it. Rather than continue to delay the regular season while they figured that out, the two sides agreed to push the decision off for a few months.

Tied to the Draft is the Qualifying Offer system. The league will drop the direct draft pick compensation for free agents, meaning teams that sign big time free agents will not lose draft picks anymore. Teams that lose their free agents will still be able to get draft pick compensation, though.

The deadline to agree to the Draft is July 25th. If they cannot find a path forward on it, the Qualifying Offer will return this next offseason and throughout the rest of the CBA. The deadline is placed a week ahead of the July Trade Deadline, which means teams that might trade players who are free agents at the end of the year will know whether they have the QO as a backup if they keep their player as a way to get compensation still.

Now, here’s how this impacts the Brewers.

Over the past few years, the Brewers have had some solid international free agent classes, with a very strong presence in Venezuela. Yet, they still routinely don’t land Top 10 rated prospects from the international market. They opt to spread their bonus money around and bet on a larger number of players rather than putting most of their eggs in one basket.

The draft order would have teams placed randomly into four or five groups and rotate through the top spots in the order. That means that once every four or five years, the Brewers would pretty much be guaranteed a Top 10 prospect from the international market.

The Brewers have had a lot of success on the international market recently, but now their access to that talent is going to change. This last international signing day, the Brewers signed 33 players. Under the draft, there are 20 rounds, and undrafted players can sign for a max of a $20k bonus.

They cannot lock down verbal agreements years in advance like they do now, and they will have to scout a larger number of players in order to prepare for this going forward, if it gets implemented.

New CBA Rule: Universal DH

At long last, the Designated Hitter is officially coming to baseball. After a one year experiment with the DH in both leagues in 2020, both the players and league decided they wanted to keep it and they did. It was one of the few things both sides agreed with during this whole process.

That ends the days of Brandon Woodruff hitting home runs off Clayton Kershaw. No more shall we see Adrian Houser hit a home run each time he sees the Marlins’ Daniel Castano.

But also, no more shall we see our pitchers struggle to lay down a sacrifice bunt.

No more shall we see our pitchers strike out on three pitches without even swinging a bat.

No more shall we see our pitchers get injured swinging a bat.

No more shall we see our pitchers get injured running the bases.

No more shall we see our pitchers get injured diving into a base.

No more shall we see our pitchers get thrown at by a Cubs reliever that got offended.

No more shall we see teams intentionally walk the eight-hole hitter to get to the pitcher.

No more shall one spot in the lineup be an automatic black hole.

Considering how important the starting rotation is to this Brewers team, and really all teams, implementing the DH is a good move to make, and a necessary one.

This also will provide massive help to the Brewers offense. This allows the Brewers room in the lineup to make another free agent or trade acquisition without taking playing time from guys who also deserve spots. It provides a chance to boost this offense that really needs one.

The DH will allow Craig Counsell to give his hitters days off from the field but still keep them in the lineup. Christian Yelich can get off his legs but still get his ABs and that will allow Tyrone Taylor to get more time out there as well. The same goes for Lorenzo Cain.

This will give Craig Counsell a lot of flexibility with his lineup to get guys their playing time and their rest while also keeping them in the lineup. It will also allow him to keep his starting pitchers in the game longer because he won’t have to remove them for a pinch hitter.

New CBA Rule: Expanded postseason

The postseason has expanded yet again, going from 10 teams up to 12. This is leading to a whole new format.

With six teams from each league making the postseason, that means there are the three division winners and then three Wild Cards. The team with the top two records will receive what essentially amounts to a bye.

The division winner with the lowest record and the three wild cards will play a Best-Of-3 series in the Wild Card round. The winners of those series will move on to the LDS to face one of the top two seeds. There is no re-seeding to ensure the top seed will face the lowest remaining seed.

How this impacts the Brewers is simple: It makes it that much easier to make the postseason. The Brewers are the reigning NL Central champions and they won it pretty convincingly last year, but the Cardinals are still full of talent and the Cubs aren’t looking for another long teardown and rebuild. If the Brewers are unable to win the division, the third wild card spot will help give them more of an opportunity to reach October baseball.

If the Brewers are not one of the top two seeds and they have to play in the Wild Card round, they are well positioned for a three game series. Between Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta, the Brewers will have the upper hand in the rotation against any team in baseball.

As we saw in October 2021, the best pitching in the world doesn’t matter if your offense can’t score, but the aforementioned Universal DH should also help the Brewers be better on that front as well.

There were rumors of a 14 team postseason plan, but thankfully that was not agreed to. That would muddy the postseason waters a lot, and even though it would give the Brewers an even better chance of making the postseason, that just makes it that much harder to achieve the ultimate goal of a World Series.

A best-of-3 Wild Card eliminates some of that tough luck you see in the win-or-go-home Wild Card we’ve had over the last decade. That 2019 Brewers squad might’ve been a World Series caliber club if not for the unfortunate luck late in that game against the Nationals.

There are other aspects of the new CBA that makes some changes, but not all of them impact the Brewers or how they operate. The league minimum salary has increased, plus there’s the addition of a bonus pool for pre-arbitration players who perform well.