Brewers: An Updated Prediction Of The Brewers 2023 Opening Day Roster
What will the Brewers Opening Day roster look like? We're still over two weeks away from the start of the regular season, but we're well into Cactus League play, and while the roster picture is still fuzzy, it's getting clearer by the day.
So let's take a fresh look at the Brewers roster. Roster battles are underway and some players are starting to pull away and some are falling behind.
Here's a fresh projection of the Milwaukee Brewers 2023 Opening Day roster by position.
Catchers (2) - William Contreras, Victor Caratini
This position is pretty cut and dry. William Contreras is the big addition this offseason and he'll be the starter behind the plate. Veteran Victor Caratini is going to be the backup. The only other catcher on the 40 man roster is Payton Henry, who has limited big league experience and even more limited big league success. Barring injury (knock on wood), this will be the catching corps.
Infielders (6) - Rowdy Tellez, Luis Urias, Willy Adames, Mike Brosseau, Owen Miller, Luke Voit
It's a crowded infield picture for the Brewers. Rowdy Tellez is entrenched as the starter at first base. Willy Adames is at shortstop. The rest is up for grabs, it seems. Luis Urias figures to be an everyday regular, but could bounce between third base and second base. Meanwhile, the fight for the other remaining everyday spot is heating up.
Mike Brosseau and Owen Miller are all dominating at camp right now. Miller is hitting .400 with four of his eight hits being doubles. Brosseau is the Brewers spring training leader in home runs with four long balls in seven games played, The third player battling for the utility spot is Abraham Toro, and he's the switch hitter of the group. However, he's playing for Team Canada at the World Baseball Classic right now and is not in camp, which may hurt his chances of making the Opening Day roster.
The way Miller and Brosseau are playing, it's hard to keep them off the roster, so I have them making it, pushing Brice Turang back to start the season in Triple-A, despite having nothing left to prove there.
Luke Voit also makes the roster here. Signed to a minor league deal, Voit pushes Keston Hiura out of his roster spot. They have similar skillsets but Voit has a track record of big league success where Hiura does not. The early opt out may force the Brewers hand, and although they theoretically could add him to the 40 man roster and option him down before the season, it makes more sense to simply roll with Voit as the backup first baseman and DH.
Outfielders (4) - Christian Yelich, Garrett Mitchell, Brian Anderson, Tyler Naquin
You may have been looking at the infield group and wondered to yourself where Brian Anderson was. Fear not, Anderson is being grouped among the outfielders here. Why? Because with Tyrone Taylor's injury, Anderson, who was already slated to play a fair amount of right field, is likely to see the bulk of his playing time in right field until Taylor returns.
Christian Yelich is a lock, and Garrett Mitchell is essentially a lock. He's the top prospect that played well in his debut last season and has continued to play well in spring training. He's going to be the centerfielder for this team.
That leaves right field being covered by Anderson and Tyler Naquin. Naquin is another non-roster invitee but one with several years of big league experience and the versatility to play any outfield spot.
There is the potential for Sal Frelick to crack this group instead of Naquin. He also isn't on the 40 man but is a big part of the future plan for the Brewers. It would make some sense to go with him over Naquin, who isn't a part of future plans in Milwaukee. But they also have time on their side with Frelick. If they wait, they could extend his team control an extra year. I would argue that it's better to have your best 26 players on the roster, but for now I project that Frelick will start the year in Triple-A.
Designated Hitter (1) - Jesse Winker
While Jesse Winker is technically an outfielder, he figures to see most of his playing time at DH this year. His outfield defense is sub-par and would only be suited for left field, which is occupied by Christian Yelich. He doesn't have the arm for right field even though there are opportunities there, the Brewers would be better off playing someone else there on defense and have Winker just focus on hitting.
Starting rotation (6) - Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, Freddy Peralta, Eric Lauer, Wade Miley, Adrian Houser
This is mostly chalk. There isn't much of a battle or controversy over the rotation. The top four are essentially locked in if all are healthy (knock on wood). Wade Miley as a free agent acquisition is slated for that fifth spot.
Sure there are others in camp competing for a rotation spot. Bryse Wilson and Janson Junk are among them. Injuries to Aaron Ashby and Jason Alexander have opened some opportunities to climb into the conversation, but this is a tough group to crack given the depth at the top.
Whether the Brewers actually start the year with a 6 man rotation or not remains to be seen. They might not, in which case Adrian Houser likely moves to the bullpen in the long relief role. He struggled a bit last year in the rotation and the veteran Miley seems more likely to stick in the rotation over Houser.
Bullpen (7) - Devin Williams, Matt Bush, Peter Strzelecki, Hoby Milner, Javy Guerra, Tyson Miller, Bryse Wilson
The bullpen is always the toughest group to predict in every spring training. There are several spots up for grabs each year and a lot of viable candidates to fill them.
This year, the Brewers essentially have three open spots. Devin Williams and Matt Bush are locks in the back end. Milner is coming off a great season and Strzelecki had an impressive debut and the Brewers love what they see in him. Those two are essentially locks.
With the six man rotation, there are three spots left before the 13 pitcher maximum. I'm giving those three spots to Javy Guerra, Tyson Miller, and Bryse Wilson. Guerra and Wilson are both out of minor league options. Guerra throws hard and has looked good on the mound this spring. He's currently in the World Baseball Classic as well. Wilson is a former Top 100 prospect that is looking to rebound in Milwaukee and can give the Brewers some length out of the bullpen.
Tyson Miller, a waiver claim from the Rangers, earns a spot. In five spring training innings, Miller has allowed just one hit, no runs, and has struck out eight. He does have a minor league option remaining, which works against him making the roster for Opening Day, but with the way he's performed so far, it's difficult not to put him on the roster.
This would mean Rule 5 pick Gus Varland gets returned to the Dodgers since he does not make the cut here. I wouldn't count out Varland making the team, but it's an uphill climb. Other candidates include Joel Payamps, Jake Cousins, and Elvis Peguero. Payamps is the only one of that trio that is out of minor league options.
If the season started today, this is how I'd project the Brewers Opening Day roster to look. We still have a few weeks left, and things could change.