Leading into Game 1 of the 2023 National League Wild Card Series, the Diamondbacks bring a lineup full of youth into a matchup with one of the game's best starters, Corbin Burnes.
In Burnes' career against Arizona, he sits with a 2-1 record and a 3.77 ERA, including a few great outings and two blowup starts. In 2023, Burnes has kept that reputation vs. Arizona, as he had one 8-inning start in early April against Arizona, allowing no runs and striking out eight, but he also had a blowup start in June. On June 19th, Burnes allowed seven runs on eight hits while only striking out three in five innings.
As we know, Burnes makes heavy usage of his cutter (55.4%), as well as mixing in a curveball (17.6), changeup (11.2%), slider (8.5%), and sinker (7.7%), at all below 20%. Burnes has had a bit of trouble with command of his cutter this season, and he will need to be the Burnes we have seen in the second half (2.71) for the Brewers to sustain playoff success in 2023.
Using the Diamondbacks' projected lineup from Fangraphs for 2023, let's take a dive into what we should expect tonight from Burnes and the Diamondbacks.