Brewers vs. Braves prediction and odds for Friday, July 28

Atlanta just took two of three from the Brewers last weekend, but the Braves pitching staff is starting to fall apart a bit and that could give Milwaukee a chance.

Milwaukee Brewers left fielder Christian Yelich (22)
Milwaukee Brewers left fielder Christian Yelich (22) / Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal

There’s a lot of history between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers. Both from many many years ago and just last weekend when the Braves took two of three in Milwaukee. This weekend, the Braves will host the Brewers after dropping both of their games at Fenway Park. The Brewers are coming off a series win over Cincinnati and are 57-46. The Braves are 64-36. 

For Game 1, Atlanta will go with Yonny Chirinos who last appeared on July 16 when he went 4.2 innings in relief for the Tampa Bay Rays. Chirinos was grabbed off waivers by Atlanta and has a 4.02 ERA in 15 appearances, four of those starts. He will be opposed by Adrian Houser who is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA for Milwaukee. 

Let’s get into the odds for the Brewers and Braves in Atlanta.

Brewers vs. Braves odds, run line and total

Brewers vs. Braves prediction and pick

The Braves had a rough go of it in Boston. They only managed four runs in the two games at Fenway and actually for the month of July they’re 15th in runs scored. They still have a .769 team OPS this month and have the scariest lineup in the sport, but right now, they’ve cooled considerably. 

The Milwaukee Brewers have actually been a lot better offensively lately. This month they have a .730 OPS as a team and for the season they’re 26th in OPS at .687. Christian Yelich is dominating with a 1.094 OPS this month and six home runs, but he’s getting help from Sal Frelick who has given them a spark lately. Frelick has only played five games since coming back from injury this month, but he’s hitting .417 in his 12 at-bats and has given legitimate life to the lineup. 

Atlanta will be seriously leaning on their bullpen in this game and it’s been a very good bullpen this year. In July they have a 3.46 ERA. The Braves could easily win this and every game on their schedule, but with the way they’re playing at the moment I feel they’re being a bit overvalued. I’ll take Milwaukee to keep this one close if not win it outright as an underdog. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change