Brewers vs. Phillies prediction and odds for Wednesday, July 19

The Brewers struggled against lefties in the spring, but since June 1 they've crushed left-handed pitching like Cristopher Sanchez.

Milwaukee Brewers shortstop Willy Adames (27) at bat during the
Milwaukee Brewers shortstop Willy Adames (27) at bat during the / Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Both the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies are looking good out of the All-Star break.

The Phillies took Game 1 of this series last night which ended a three-game streak out of the break and a four-game win streak overall for Milwaukee. That win was the fourth straight for Philadelphia. The Brewers are now 52-43 and the Phillies are 52-42. 

The Brew Crew will try to avoid a series loss tonight with Colin Rea on the mound opposite Cristopher Sanchez. Rea is 5-4 with a 4.71 ERA in his 15 starts while Sanchez has been very good in just six starts this year with a 3.26, but an 0-3 record. 

Let’s take a look at the odds as the Brewers are road underdogs, but might be a very live dog against the lefty. 

Brewers vs. Phillies odds, run line and total

Brewers vs. Phillies prediction and pick

The story of the Brewers for most of the season was that you should fade them against lefties. They are still just 26th in team OPS against lefties. However, since June 1 which is not a small sample size, they are 10th in OPS against lefties at .759 and in July they’re sixth at .867. This team has completely turned it around against left-handed pitching. 

A big reason for the turnaround is Willy Adames who has a 1.429 OPS against lefties this month with a 272 wRC+. That’s a small sample, but from the start of the season to May 31, he had a .636 OPS against lefties and since then he is at .876. William Contreras is also hitting .350 against lefties since June 1. 

It’s rare that a team will just completely flip their platoon splits for a season, but it has happened for the Brewers and they’ve gotten rid of their biggest weakness. Christopher Sanchez has a 4.15 FIP which is nearly a run higher than his ERA and has given up five homers in his six starts. 

I don’t expect Sanchez to sustain his success and especially not against Adames and the Brewers bats. I’ll take Milwaukee as an underdog in this one. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change