The Milwaukee Brewers are still engaged in a battle at the top of the NL Central, one that the Pittsburgh Pirates were a part of for much of this season. However, Pittsburgh has fallen away and the Brewers want to make sure they stay near the bottom of the standings over this three-game weekend series at PNC Park.
For Game 1 the Pirates will send Osvaldo Bido to the mound to make his fourth career start. Bido is 0-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his previous three. Freddy Peralta is 5-7 with a 4.65 ERA in his 15 starts this season. He will make his 16th on Friday in Pittsburgh and the Brewers are the favorites to win it on the road.
Brewers vs. Pirates odds, run line and total
Brewers vs. Pirates prediction and odds
Osvaldo Bido has only made three starts, but all three have actually been pretty solid. He has a 2.95 FIP on the year and yet the Pirates are 0-3 in those outings. Last time, he gave up nine hits over 5.2 innings, but only two runs and no walks with five strikeouts. There isn’t much data on the 27-year-old rookie, but at some point it could be time to accept that he’s not bad and we should treat him as such.
What is bad is both of these offenses. The Brewers are last in the National League in OPS and the Pirates are second to last. They also rank 14th and 15th in runs scored in the NL and the Pirates are 13th in home runs. Milwaukee has the edge there checking in at ninth, which out of 15 still isn’t good.
Last time Peralta faced the Pirates was June 18 and he went six innings allowing just two runs on two hits with nine strikeouts. He hasn’t been good this season, but for his career he has a 2.86 ERA against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This feels like a no-brainer, so let’s take the under.
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