Milwaukee Brewers: MLBTR Announces 2024 Arbitration Projections

The Brewers have a dozen players who currently qualify.

Sep 16, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes (39) reacts after
Sep 16, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes (39) reacts after / Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
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For the second consecutive season the Milwaukee Brewers find themselves with a large number of players in arbitration and their projected salaries increasing. During last year's arbitration projections 18 players were listed with an estimated $79.9MM allocated towards them. Looking ahead to 2024, 12 players are eligible with $70.0MM projected in total salary.

Once again, MLB Trade Rumors is the source we are utilizing for 2024 arbitration projections. Here's what the Crew's players are projected to make in salary in 2024 with their actual 2023 salary listed afterwards.

Arbitration projections for 12 Milwaukee Brewers players in 2024 according to MLB Trade Rumors.

Corbin Burnes - $15.1MM projected ($10.01MM in 2023)

For the first time since 2019, Corbin Burnes finished with an ERA above 3.00, but his 3.39 ERA was still quite good. He also he finished less than seven innings shy of 200 innings pitched, struck out exactly 200 batters, and was an All-Star for the third consecutive season.

A $5MM pay increase is not out of the question for one of baseball's top pitchers, but Milwaukee may not be willing to pay that as trade rumors surrounding him will intensify this winter. Additionally, the Brewers took him to an ugly arbitration hearing last spring and could very well do so again should he remain with the organization.

Willy Adames - $12.4MM projected ($8.70MM in 2023)

For the second consecutive season, Willy Adames had a down offensive season. A year ago he at hit for a ton of power and slugging, but his batting average and on-base percentage took a hit. In 2023, his batting average fell again (.217), he finished with an on-base percentage above .300 (.310), but his power/slugging percentage was down. He made up for his offensive woes by being a top three defender in the league and now has one more year of arbitration to put it all together before a big payday.

Brandon Woodruff - $11.6MM projected ($10.80MM in 2023)

Injuries hampered Brandon Woodruff in 2023 as he ended up making just 11 starts. He was dominant when he was on the mound (2.28 ERA and one complete game shutout) but there are legitimate concerns about his shoulder health moving forward. Had he pitched a full season, he likely would be closer to the $15MM price range, but instead he projects to get a less than $1MM pay increase.

Devin Williams - $6.5MM projected ($3.35MM in 2023)

2024 will be Devin Williams' second year of arbitration and he is estimated for a pay raise slightly over $3MM. He was the team's primary closer for the first time this year and he secured 36 saves with a 1.53 ERA. It is interesting to compare his year two arbitration projection to what Josh Hader made at the same stage entering 202). At that time Josh Hader made $6.68MM, which is just slightly above Devin Williams' projections.

Rowdy Tellez - $5.9MM projected ($4.95MM in 2023)

2023 was a rough year for Rowdy Tellez. After a solid first month of the season he fell into a slump, lost playing time to players like Owen Miller, Darin Ruf, Luke Voit, and eventually saw Carlos Santana acquired at the trade deadline. He finished the year with a career worst 82 OPS+, .378 slugging percentage, and was left off of the Brewers playoff roster.

Adrian Houser - $5.6MM projected ($3.60MM in 2023)

Entering his final year of arbitration, Adrian Houser is projected to see a $2MM pay increase. The 30-year-old again posted solid numbers as he finished with a 4.12 ERA, 111 innings pitched, and 21 starts. He has covered over 100 innings for Milwaukee in three of the past four seasons (the shortened 2020 season being the lone exception) but now the decision to tender him a contract gets tougher with his projected salary increasing by a large amount.

Eric Lauer - $5.2MM projected ($5.08MM in 2023)

2023 was a year to forget for Eric Lauer. He battled mechanics as well as general inflammation and nerve compression most of the season and spent a lot of time in Arizona and the minor leagues working on things. He had a chance at redemption to pitch a big league game against the Cubs during the final series of the year, but it didn't go well. His final numbers ended up being a 6.56 ERA with 16 home runs surrendered.

Hoby Milner - $1.7MM projected (1.03MM in 2023)

2024 will be Hoby Milner's second year of arbitration. The southpaw put together an incredible 2023 campaign that featured a 1.82 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 73 appearances, and 64.1 innings pitched. His pay raise will be much deserved as he was one of Craig Counsell's favorite relievers to use this season.

Abraham Toro - $1.3MM projected ($1.25MM in 2023)

Acquired during the Kolten Wong deal to the Seattle Mariners, Abraham Toro is entering his second of four years of arbitration. Milwaukee used him on the big league roster sparingly last year so a salary near what he made in 2023 is expected.

Joel Payamps - $1.7MM projected ($730k in 2023)

During his first season with the Brewers, Joel Payamps was incredible. He became the eighth inning bridge man to Devin Williams and finished the season with a 2.55 ERA in 70.2 innings pitched. His 27 holds tied him for the eighth most in the league. 2024 will be Joel Payamps' first year of arbitration.

Tyrone Taylor - $1.7MM projected ($730k in 2023)

Tyrone Taylor is another Brewers player entering his first year of arbitration. He had an interesting year that consisted of missing substantial time early on due to an elbow injury, but then finishing out strong. What's difficult with Tyrone Taylor is that he has no minor league options remaining and Milwaukee has a strong core of young outfielders ready for MLB playing time.

Bryse Wilson - $1.3MM projected ($732k in 2023)

Milwaukee acquired Bryse Wilson via a trade for cash last winter when the Pittsburgh Pirates designated him for assignment. He assumed the role of long reliever and thrived at either keeping the Brewers in games or holding leads. His 2.58 ERA over 76.2 innings pitched was a pleasant surprise this year.

The non-tender deadline is in the middle of November, so there is a little over one month for Matt Arnold and company to decide which of these players will be given contracts for 2024.

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