Yesterday, the Boston Red Sox got an 11-5 to finish off their series with the Twins and move to 10-10 on the season.
Despite the win and the .500 record, Boston is still in last place in the AL East. The 14-5, first place Milwaukee Brewers were off yesterday after sweeping the Mariners in Seattle. Now, they’re back home for Game 1 with the Red Sox.
Tonight it’ll be Nick Pivetta and Freddy Peralta on the mound. Pivetta is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA for the Sox this season and Peralta is 2-1 with a 3.18 in his three starts. The Brewers are home favorites with Peralta pitching, so let’s get into the odds for this interleague series in Milwaukee.
Red Sox vs. Brewers odds, run line and total
Red Sox vs. Brewers prediction and pick
Last time out, Freddy Peralta got beaten up by the Padres, allowing five runs on nine hits in 5.0 innings. That was simply water finding its level after only allowing one run through his first 12.0 innings of the season. Peralta should put together a strong start tonight against the Red Sox, though Boston has scored 35 runs over the last seven days, the third most in baseball.
The Brewers also have the second best bullpen ERA in baseball, 2.15, so they’ll be very strong behind Peralta once he’s relieved of his duties.
While Milwaukee’s pitching can be trusted, their offense has a .601 OPS over the past week which is 26th in baseball.
They’ve really fallen off after a hot start and Garrett Mitchell is on the 10-day IL now. Brian Anderson, who was carrying their offense with a very hot start has fallen off a cliff. He has a .583 OPS over the past week.
The over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last four games, but with Milwaukee’s offense struggling so badly and Freddy Peralta poised for a strong start, I like the under in this one.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change