With four-straight wins, the Milwaukee Brewers are starting to pull away from the rest of the NL Central.
After beating the Minnesota Twins 7-3 yesterday, the Brewers are 69-57 and lead the division by 3.5 games over the Cubs. That’s the most breathing room they’ve had in a while, but still not as much as the 65-61 Twins have in the AL Central which they lead by five games.
Today the Twins will try and even the series on the road with Kenta Maeda taking the mound. Maeda is 3-7 with a 4.13 ERA in 14 starts and will be opposed by 9-6 Corbin Burnes with his 3.43 ERA in 25 starts.
The Brewers just keep pulling away from their division, and they’re favored to win another one tonight to keep their distance.
Twins vs. Brewers odds, run line and total
Twins vs. Brewers prediction and pick
When the Milwaukee Brewers are winning, they’re typically doing it with pitching and defense, but over these last four games they have scored 28 runs and have really gotten a lot out of their lineup.
That’s with Christian Yelich having just a .632 OPS over the past week. They only have four home runs over the past week as a team which is 24th in baseball and not a good sign for their offense to keep up this type of production.
Minnesota however, is 30th with only two.
Last time he took the mound, Corbin Burnes was excellent, but his offense didn’t give him any support. Burnes went seven scoreless with two hits, two walks, and nine strikeouts. It ended being a 1-0 loss to the Dodgers.
We could see another low-scoring game like that today.
With neither team hitting the ball out of the ballpark lately, it’s hard to rely on their offense. It isn’t too hard to trust these starting pitchers though.
Burnes is coming off a fantastic start against one of the best lineups in the MLB and Maeda has a 3.73 xERA and a 3.79 FIP which are both predictive of future success.
Understandably the total is low with these two starters on the mound, but that doesn’t scare me off. Neither does Milwaukee’s recent run production.
If the Brewers want to extend their win streak they’ll need to lean on their pitching and defense once again.
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