What history says about the Brewers chances of winning the NLCS now

Look, when you lose the first two games of a best-of-seven series, the odds aren't going to be in your favor. That's especially true when you fork over home-field advantage to the reigning champions.

Thus, it shouldn't be a surprise that Sarah Langs' findings have the Milwaukee Brewers staring down some long odds to bring this series back in their favor.

With the deductive powers of subtraction, we can see that the Crew have an 11.1% chance to win this series, based on historical data. That's not nothing, but it does boil down to a one-in-nine chance of advancing to the World Series.

Can Brewers overcome the odds and make historic NLCS comeback against Dodgers?

For those who like to see the glass half full (or, in this case, 11% full), it should be noted that the Brewers haven't been exploiting the Los Angeles Dodgers' biggest weakness just yet.

A injury-riddled, underperforming bullpen has been hidden well by the Dodgers through the first two games of this series, which is rather unfortunate considering the Brewers have had to turn to most of their high-leverage relievers just to keep games close.

After Roki Sasaki's near-meltdown in Game 1 and Blake Treinen's subsequent high-wire escape act, it's clear that if the Brewers can get the Dodgers' starters out of games early, they'll have a good chance to win on any given night.

Then again, the reason they haven't been able to get starters out of games early is because the Dodgers' rotation is downright filthy. One night after Blake Snell twirled eight innings of one-hit ball, Yoshinobu Yamamoto delivered a complete game in front of the American Family Field crowd. After Jackson Chourio's leadoff home run, Yamamoto allowed just two hits the rest of the way.

With a significant disadvantage in starting pitching matchups the rest of the way -- Shohei Ohtani and Tyler Glasnow will trump whatever combination of Chad Patrick, Jose Quintana, and Jacob Misiorowski that Pat Murphy decides to throw out there -- the Brewers' comeback chances will come down to their lineup's ability to wear pitchers down, as well as their bullpen's ability to handle a massive workload without breaking.

That's... not exactly the most promising game plan given the way the first two games have gone, but crazier things have happened before. It was just two years ago that the Arizona Diamondbacks completed the same daunting comeback against the Philadelphia Phillies.

These Brewers are used to playing without the odds on their side. They're really going to have to embrace their underdog mentality now if they hope to get the train back on the tracks.