It's sort of a sick joke that, even down 3-0 and having used up their trio of all-universe aces, the Los Angeles Dodgers can trot another frontline starter out to the mound to try and stave off elimination against the Milwaukee Brewers. Alas, the Crew will have to get through Tyler Glasnow if they want to complete their revenge arc and sweep the two-time reigning champs in the NLCS.
Of course, after seeing Tarik Skubal, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Blake Snell -- who have four Cy Youngs and a World Series MVP between them -- there's not much that should faze the Brewers. Glasnow is a very good pitcher, but he's the closest thing to a weak link in the Dodgers' super-rotation.
Still, he's an intimidating presence on the bump and has had tons of success against most of Pat Murphy's lineup to boot. Milwaukee will counter with rookie southpaw Shane Drohan, though this will be an all-hands-on-deck effort as the Brewers try to get to where they haven't been since 1982.
To sweep Dodgers, Brewers will need to overcome intimidating history against Tyler Glasnow
Let's start with the optimistic view. Glasnow remains a perpetually injury-prone pitcher, making just 13 starts this year while dealing with back spasms and various setbacks. Though that means his arm should be fresh, he also likely isn't operating at 100%; his last start (against the Braves in the NLDS) saw him yield only one hit across 4⅔ innings, but he also walked five batters as part of a laborious outing.
That's an exploitable weakness the Crew need to take advantage of, since Glasnow has walked multiple batters in each of his past five starts. Running up his pitch count early will force Dave Roberts to dig into his stash of relievers, many of whom seemingly don't have his trust right now.
The major concern for the Brewers lies in the past, since Glasnow has had their number historically. Christian Yelich (one hit, seven strikeouts in 14 plate appearances), William Contreras (zero hits in 10 PAs), and Jackson Chourio (.286 OPS in seven PAs) have all struggled mightily in their head-to-head matchups with the right-hander.
Those numbers also don't include his dominant performance in Game 3 of last year's NLCS, when he struck out eight and held the Brewers to one run on three hits over 5⅔ innings. As such, the work of Game 3 hero Jake Bauers (.952 OPS in seven PAs) and Brice Turang (.375 OBP in eight PAs) will be key to getting the Crew ahead tonight.
Having already taken down all of the Dodgers' best arms, the Brewers should enter this one with immense confidence. With a trip to the World Series on the line, all they need to do is crush their Tyler Glasnow demons.
